Will the Strait of Hormuz remain closed for more than 7 consecutive days in March 2026?
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Resolves YES if the Strait of Hormuz is confirmed closed to commercial shipping for more than 7 consecutive days at any point in March 2026.
Resolution source: Major wire services (Reuters, AP, Bloomberg) reporting confirmed closure.
Context: Iran reportedly closed the Strait of Hormuz in early March 2026 following the death of Supreme Leader Khamenei. Approximately 20% of global oil supply transits the strait.
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