Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)
5
Ṁ1kṀ544Nov 3
51%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves 0% at <= 45 seats, 100% at >= 55 seats, linear in between. (10% per seat above 45.) Counting independents based on who they intend to caucus with.
House version: /EvanDaniel/democratic-house-seats-after-2026-2
Full range: /Ziddletwix/gop-share-of-senate-seats-after-202
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
61% chance
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Democratic House seats after 2026 election? (200-250, linear)
59% chance
GOP share of senate seats after 2026 midterms? (Resolves to %)
48% chance
How many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
15% chance
How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
41% chance
Republicans win at least one of ME/MN/NC Senate seats in 2026?
32% chance
Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?