MANIFOLD
Age of death multi-market
22
Ṁ1.8kṀ2k
3001
91%
Chris Mirabile
90%
@JonathanRay
88%
Donald Knuth
88%
Bill Gates
87%
Scott Alexander
87%
@Mira
86%
Jeff Bezos
86%
Michelle Obama
86%
Joe Biden
86%
Donald Trump
85%
Peter Thiel
85%
Bryan Johnson
85%
@MarcusAbramovitch
85%
@Joshua
84%
Xi Jinping
83%
Destiny
83%
Ray Kurzweil
82%
King Charles III
80%
Elon Musk
79%
Aella

Each market resolves PROB to the age at which the person dies. 100+ resolves YES.

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Life & Death
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@JonathanRay Jesse Jackson died at 84 a few days ago. Shouldn’t that resolve?

bought Ṁ30 YES

bought Ṁ1 NO

@Simon74fe @JonathanRay Resolves 88

Is this actually correct at 80%? Why would he be a forerunner for President if he's not expected to live out the term. Something doesn't add up here.

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