
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
57
Ṁ1kṀ10k2029
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
23% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
60% chance
In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
69% chance
In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?
18% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
68% chance
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
27% chance
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt?
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
73% chance
In 2038, will a movie be able to generate a high-quality AI to a prompt?
68% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
45% chance
Sort by:
[edited]
when the model quality bridges a certain threshold research into video generation will be accelerated. Potential threshold to led to further funding: https://openai.com/sora
People are also trading
Related questions
By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
23% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
60% chance
In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
69% chance
In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?
18% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
68% chance
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
27% chance
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt?
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
73% chance
In 2038, will a movie be able to generate a high-quality AI to a prompt?
68% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
45% chance