MANIFOLD
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 100k)?
19
Ṁ300Ṁ3.5k
Mar 20
62,450 deaths
expected
5%
Below 10,000
7%
10,000 - 19,999
5%
20,000 - 29,999
12%
30,000 - 39,999
12%
40,000 - 49,999
14%
50,000 - 59,999
9%
60,000 - 69,999
7%
70,000 - 79,999
9%
80,000 - 89,999
10%
90,000 - 100,000
9%
Above 100,000

Resolution criteria

It is certainly not cheerful to be continuously recreating this market with higher and higher buckets.

Resolves by the same standards as this market but with different buckets.

Market context
Iran
Middle East
Politics
World
Death
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ5 YES

https://humanrightsintl.com/2026/01/20/latest-human-rights-report-43000-killed-in-the-crackdown-on-protests-in-iran-for-immediate-release/

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