MANIFOLD
Mojtaba Khamenei Supreme Leader of Iran on July 1st, 2026
9
Ṁ100Ṁ658
Jul 1
50%
chance

Market context
Iranian Politics
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
filled a Ṁ10 NO at 57% order

Do you think they'll leave him alive?

@Chumchulum I'm not going to answer that in order to protect my perceived fairness.

People are also trading

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
39% chance
Who will be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Will Iran appoint a new Supreme Leader by April 1st, 2026?
75% chance
New Iranian Supreme Leader is chosen in March 2026 and killed in March 2026.
+6% 1d25% chance
Will Ali Larijani succeed Khamenei as the supreme leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran?
3% chance
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
-4% 1d39% chance
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be confirmed dead by the end of March?
-5% 1d26% chance
When the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader (Ayatollah Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next Supreme Leader?
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
99% chance
Who will be paramount leader of Iran on January 1st 2027?
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy